Russia is now actively helping Iran kill American service members while simultaneously pretending to negotiate in good faith on Ukraine — Putin is running a two-front war against US interests where he supplies targeting data for strikes on US forces in the Middle East while extracting concessions in Europe, and Washington is letting him get away with it because the Iran war consumes all bandwidth.
US waiving sanctions for India to buy Russian oil (30-day waiver issued Friday) creates a sanctioned-energy arbitrage where Russia profits from the Hormuz disruption it's helping create through its intel-sharing with Iran — Russia wins on oil prices, wins on weakening US in Middle East, and wins on Ukraine negotiations all at once while Trump is too distracted to notice.